Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3680
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 3680 · SEA → TUS
departs 9:04 AM PT · arrives 12:24 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 13%
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 16%
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at TUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUS?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
TUS is prone to delays
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SEA that day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUS
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.07 in
TUS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.