OO 3795 · ATL → FAY

took off 5:07 PM ET · landed 5:59 PM ET (scheduled 4:38 PM ET → 6:07 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at FAY more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FAY?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ 4pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FAY (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3795 · ATL → FAY

Odds over time

How late did it get to FAY?