Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3797
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 3797 · SLC → OAK
departs 10:50 PM MT · arrives 11:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Wed 10/28
Fri 10/30 6%
Sat 10/31 5%
Sun 11/1 13%
Mon 11/2 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
4%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
4%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into OAK at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
This flight has been late 7% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.05 in
OAK (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.