Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3802
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 3802 · SEA → PDX
departs 11:07 AM PT · arrives 12:11 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 23%
Sat 10/31 21%
Sun 11/1 26%
Mon 11/2 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from SEA are often late
↑
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at PDX that day
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into PDX at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.07 in
PDX (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.