Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3830
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 3830 · GEG → SEA
departs 9:27 AM PT · arrives 10:55 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 9%
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 14%
Sun 11/1 17%
Mon 11/2 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at GEG that day
↓
GEG usually runs smoothly
↓
9am departures from GEG are usually not late
Weather at each end
GEG (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.04 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.