Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3848 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

OO 3848 · BUF → DTW

departs 12:17 PM ET · arrives 1:33 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3848 · BUF → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?