Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3848
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 3848 · DTW → BUF
departs 10:24 AM ET · arrives 11:40 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 18%
Sat 10/31 17%
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
DTW is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.