Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3854
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
OO 3854 · DTW → GRB
departs 5:01 PM ET · arrives 5:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 23%
Fri 10/30 13%
Sun 11/1 22%
Tue 11/3 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at GRB more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GRB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at GRB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GRB?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
GRB (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.