Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3898
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 3898 · MBS → DTW
departs 11:48 AM ET · arrives 12:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 21%
Fri 10/30 20%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave MBS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MBS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
Weather at each end
MBS (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 11,000 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 8,000 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.