Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4092
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 4092 · BZN → SEA
departs 8:25 AM MT · arrives 9:28 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 17%
Fri 10/30 19%
Sat 10/31 13%
Sun 11/1 17%
Mon 11/2 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave BZN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BZN
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↓
BZN usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BZN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.