Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4128
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 4128 · EUG → SEA
departs 6:15 AM PT · arrives 7:38 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 8%
Fri 10/30 9%
Sat 10/31 9%
Sun 11/1 11%
Mon 11/2 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
EUG is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from EUG are usually not late
Weather at each end
EUG (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 2,200 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip 0.02 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 1,500 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.