OO 4177 · MFE → AUS

departs 12:46 PM CT · arrives 2:15 PM CT

Your aircraft is N255SY (E75L), coming in as OO 4177 from AUS: landed 11:48 AM CT.

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MFE

Weather at each end

MFE (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4177 · MFE → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?