OO 4766 · IAH → SHV

took off 6:31 PM CT · landed 7:03 PM CT (scheduled 6:19 PM CT → 7:29 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SHV?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SHV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.05 in

SHV (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4766 · IAH → SHV

Odds over time

How late did it get to SHV?