OO 4779 · ORD → FAR

departs 8:38 AM CT · arrives 10:35 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FAR?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at FAR that day

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FAR (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4779 · ORD → FAR

Odds over time

How late will it get to FAR?