OO 4912 · GRR → ORD

took off 5:49 PM ET · landed 5:16 PM CT (scheduled 3:59 PM ET → 4:06 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ORD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.01 in

ORD (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4912 · GRR → ORD

Odds over time

How late did it get to ORD?