Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4954
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 4954 · DFW → EVV
departs 9:42 AM CT · arrives 11:44 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 13%
Fri 10/30 22%
Sat 10/31 22%
Sun 11/1 29%
Mon 11/2 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at EVV more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EVV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at EVV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EVV?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9am departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EVV
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
EVV (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.