Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5004
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28
OO 5004 · SGF → DFW
departs 7:49 PM CT · arrives 9:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28
Today 37%
Sat 10/31 42%
Sun 11/1 31%
Mon 11/2 32%
Thu 11/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF
Weather at each end
SGF (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 6,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.