Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5006
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28
OO 5006 · PHX → PSC
departs 8:37 PM MT · arrives 11:14 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28
Sun 11/1 46%
Thu 11/5 23%
Fri 11/6 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at PSC more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PSC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at PSC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PSC?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PSC (destination)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.