Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5016
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 5016 · CMX → ORD
departs 6:14 AM ET · arrives 6:51 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 12%
Sat 10/31 14%
Sun 11/1 19%
Mon 11/2 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave CMX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
CMX (origin)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.17 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 10,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.