OO 5122 · ORD → EAU

left the gate 12:01 PM CT · taxiing (scheduled 12:01 PM CT → 1:22 PM CT)

Your aircraft is N905EV (CRJ2), coming in as OO 5213 from CAK: landed 10:32 AM CT.

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at EAU more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EAU?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at EAU that day

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EAU (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5122 · ORD → EAU

Odds over time

How late will it get to EAU?