OO 5252 · BZN → DEN

departs 10:37 AM MT · arrives 12:26 PM MT

Your aircraft is N643SY (E75L), coming in as OO 4747 from DEN: landed 9:18 AM MT.

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ BZN usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

BZN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5252 · BZN → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?