OO 5358 · ORD → CAK

left the gate 3:23 PM CT · taxiing (scheduled 3:10 PM CT → 5:39 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N464SW (CRJ2), coming in as OO 5920 from MBS: landed 1:25 PM CT.

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CAK more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CAK?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CAK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5358 · ORD → CAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to CAK?