OO 5363 · ORD → OKC

took off 5:43 PM CT · expected to land 7:24 PM CT (scheduled 4:49 PM CT → 7:09 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to OKC?

LIVE

On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
53%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5363 · ORD → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?