OO 5388 · DEN → HLN

left the gate 11:46 AM MT · taxiing (scheduled 11:30 AM MT → 1:33 PM MT)

Your aircraft is N140SY (E75L), coming in as OO 5486 from YWG: landed 10:20 AM MT.

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at HLN more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HLN?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HLN (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5388 · DEN → HLN

Odds over time

How late will it get to HLN?