OO 5413 · MSN → ORD

took off 4:16 PM CT · landed 4:51 PM CT (scheduled 3:46 PM CT → 4:51 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ORD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ MSN usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

MSN (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5413 · MSN → ORD

Odds over time

How late did it get to ORD?