OO 5421 · RAP → DEN

departs 11:12 AM MT · arrives 12:36 PM MT

Your aircraft is N148SY (E75L), coming in as OO 4783 from ORD: landed 10:13 AM MT.

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ RAP is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

RAP (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5421 · RAP → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?