OO 5460 · SBN → ORD

departs 11:38 AM ET · arrives 11:42 AM CT

Your aircraft is N487CA (CRJ2), coming in as OO 5950 from ORD: landed 10:31 AM ET.

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SBN

Weather at each end

SBN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5460 · SBN → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?