Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5471
SCHEDULED
Wednesday, October 28 Today
OO 5471 · SDF → ORD
departs 2:07 PM ET · arrives 2:45 PM CT
Your aircraft is N787SK (CRJ7), coming in as OO 5411 from ORD: in the air, landing about 2:59 PM ET, 58 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 35%
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
99%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
99%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
56%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
1.0d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 77 min after the scheduled departure, about 63 min late from the gate after a typical 14-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 19%.
+0 pts
99%
Yes 99%
No <1%
Leave SDF more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 77 min after the scheduled departure, about 63 min late from the gate after a typical 14-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 17%.
−2 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 77 min after the scheduled departure, about 63 min late from the gate after a typical 14-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 7%.
−2 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF
Weather at each end
SDF (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.