OO 5479 · SNA → SFO

departs 9:36 AM PT · arrives 11:15 AM PT

Your aircraft is N118SY (E75L), coming in as OO 5237 from SFO: landed 8:15 AM PT.

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5479 · SNA → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?