OO 5483 · SFO → OMA

departs 9:09 AM PT · arrives 2:36 PM CT

Your aircraft is N86375 (E75L), coming in as OO 5286 from ABQ: landed 7:52 AM PT.

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to OMA?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ SFO is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OMA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5483 · SFO → OMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to OMA?