OO 5506 · DEN → ACV

took off 11:24 AM MT · expected to land 12:48 PM PT (scheduled 11:20 AM MT → 1:24 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ACV more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ACV?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ ACV is prone to delays

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ACV (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5506 · DEN → ACV

Odds over time

How late will it get to ACV?