Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5531
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 5531 · OKC → IAH
departs 1:43 PM CT · arrives 3:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 11%
Fri 10/30 23%
Sat 10/31 11%
Sun 11/1 15%
Mon 11/2 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
This flight has been late 16% of the time recently
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 26 kt
Ceiling 3,400 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.