Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5647
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 5647 · FAT → SFO
departs 11:59 AM PT · arrives 1:06 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 21%
Fri 10/30 42%
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1 43%
Mon 11/2 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
Weather at each end
FAT (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.