OO 5679 · ORD → FAR

took off 2:43 PM CT · expected to land 4:04 PM CT (scheduled 1:46 PM CT → 3:42 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?

89% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FAR?

LIVE

On time or early
11%
15–30 min late
50%
30 min–1 hour late
39%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at FAR that day

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FAR (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5679 · ORD → FAR

Odds over time

How late will it get to FAR?