OO 5730 · MSN → ORD

departs 10:40 AM CT · arrives 11:46 AM CT

Your aircraft is N738EV (CRJ7), coming in as OO 5559 from ORD: in the air, landing about 9:31 AM CT, 65 min before departure.

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSN

Weather at each end

MSN (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5730 · MSN → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?