Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5733
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28
OO 5733 · PDX → SFO
departs 10:54 AM PT · arrives 12:57 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 21%
Fri 10/30 30%
Sat 10/31 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±8 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at PDX that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
PDX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.