OO 5769 · DEN → ASE

departs 11:55 AM MT · arrives 12:54 PM MT

Your aircraft is N630SY (E75L), coming in as OO 4647 from ASE: landed 9:30 AM MT.

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ASE?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ASE (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5769 · DEN → ASE

Odds over time

How late will it get to ASE?