Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5785
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
OO 5785 · ORD → PIA
departs 2:02 PM CT · arrives 3:06 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 24%
Fri 10/30 25%
Sat 10/31 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIA more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at PIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to PIA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
2pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PIA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 8,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.