Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5839
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
OO 5839 · TVC → ORD
departs 11:51 AM ET · arrives 12:13 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TVC
Weather at each end
TVC (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.