Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5843
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 5843 · SHV → IAH
departs 7:05 AM CT · arrives 8:20 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 9%
Fri 10/30 18%
Sat 10/31 15%
Mon 11/2 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave SHV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SHV
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SHV (origin)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.