OO 5873 · ORD → PIA

departs 9:58 PM CT · arrives 11:02 PM CT

Your aircraft is N738EV (CRJ7), coming in as OO 5606 from CHO: landed 7:07 PM CT.

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PIA more than 15 minutes late?

77% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PIA?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5873 · ORD → PIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIA?