OO 5892 · MRY → SFO

departs 10:04 AM PT · arrives 10:57 AM PT

Your aircraft is N947SW (CRJ2), coming in as OO 5670 from SFO: landed 9:18 PM PT.

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MRY

Weather at each end

MRY (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5892 · MRY → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?