Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5938
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28
OO 5938 · OTH → SFO
departs 2:04 PM PT · arrives 3:35 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 40%
Fri 10/30 51%
Sat 10/31 36%
Sun 11/1 52%
Mon 11/2 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave OTH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 49% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
OTH (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.