Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5959
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
OO 5959 · SHV → IAH
departs 5:56 PM CT · arrives 7:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28
Today 24%
Fri 10/30 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SHV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SHV
Weather at each end
SHV (origin)
Gusts 5 kt
Ceiling 4,100 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 3,900 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.