OO 6019 · SFO → SLC

left the gate 10:46 AM PT · taxiing (scheduled 10:40 AM PT → 1:36 PM MT)

Your aircraft is N86372 (E75L), coming in as OO 4801 from MSP: landed 9:18 AM PT.

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±1 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from SFO are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6019 · SFO → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?