Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6047
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
OO 6047 · LAX → SEA
departs 4:32 PM PT · arrives 7:09 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 33%
Fri 10/30 27%
Sat 10/31 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SEA that day
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
4pm departures from LAX are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.