OO 6210 · LAX → XNA

took off 7:01 PM PT · landed 11:48 PM CT (scheduled 6:30 PM PT → 11:56 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to XNA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

XNA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6210 · LAX → XNA

Odds over time

How late did it get to XNA?