OO 6302 · ORD → CID

departs 12:04 PM CT · arrives 1:15 PM CT

Your aircraft is N872DC (CRJ7), coming in as OO 4928 from DSM: landed 10:32 AM CT.

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CID?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CID (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6302 · ORD → CID

Odds over time

How late will it get to CID?