OO 6442 · ASE → DFW

took off 1:36 PM MT · expected to land 4:12 PM CT (scheduled 12:53 PM MT → 4:07 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

61% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

LIVE

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
50%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ ASE is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE

Weather at each end

ASE (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6442 · ASE → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?