OO 6449 · LAX → SJD

took off 12:08 PM PT · expected to land 2:12 PM MST (scheduled 12:02 PM PT → 2:41 PM MST)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SJD more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SJD?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJD (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6449 · LAX → SJD

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJD?